BRIANKEATING

NASA 'gotcha' that self-owned Moon landing deniers

Dear Magicians,

The cognitive dissonance was so profound it’s almost beautiful in its self-defeating elegance. I discovered that conspiracy theorists have essentially constructed a logical guillotine and proceeded to place their own necks beneath it.

Let’s dissect this with surgical precision: Moon landing deniers ( including luminaries like Candace Owens and Bart SIbrel) often invoke James Van Allen’s radiation belt discoveries as their smoking gun, claiming the Van Allen radiation belts made lunar missions impossible. They’ll say even Elon Musk knows about them and this is why we never went back to the moon in the past 56 years. They typically cite NASA’s own Explorer 1 and Explorer 3 data from 1958, quote Van Allen’s published papers on radiation intensity, and reference the agency’s technical specifications for spacecraft aluminum shielding requirements.

But here’s where the intellectual house of cards collapses: They’re using NASA data to prove NASA lied!

This is like claiming someone is a pathological liar while simultaneously using their testimony as your primary evidence. The logical structure is so fundamentally broken that it defies basic reasoning principles. If NASA possessed the scientific competence to accurately map radiation fields in space, design instruments capable of measuring particle flux densities, and publish peer-reviewed research on magnetospheric physics—all of which conspiracy theorists readily accept—then what exactly prevents this same organization from successfully navigating those same radiation fields?

The selective epistemology is breathtaking. Bart Sibrel and his ilk will enthusiastically cite NASA’s Apollo 8 radiation dosimetry data when it supports their narrative, then claim the entire mission was filmed on a soundstage. They’ll reference the agency’s precise calculations of trajectory windows through the Van Allen belts—calculations that required extraordinary mathematical sophistication—while maintaining that NASA lacked the basic competence to actually execute those trajectories.

The deeper pathology here reveals itself in the cherry-picking methodology. These aren’t people following evidence to conclusions; they’re reverse-engineering evidence to support predetermined beliefs. They’ve decided NASA faked the Moon landings, then scavenged through the scientific literature for anything that might superficially support that conclusion, completely ignoring the source credibility problem they’ve created.

What makes this particularly rich is that my appearance on various podcasts has highlighted how actual physicists approach these questions. Real scientists don’t selectively trust data sources—they evaluate methodologies, cross-reference findings, and maintain logical consistency in their evidentiary standards.

The Van Allen belt “gotcha” actually proves the opposite of what conspiracy theorists claim. The fact that NASA accurately predicted, measured, and documented radiation exposure during Apollo missions—with dosimeter readings that matched theoretical calculations—demonstrates precisely the kind of scientific competence required for successful lunar missions.

This isn’t just bad reasoning; it’s aggressively self-refuting reasoning that would earn a failing grade in any undergraduate logic course. The conspiracy theorists have essentially argued themselves out of their own position while thinking they’ve delivered a knockout blow.

The tragic irony? Van Allen himself supported the Apollo program and never suggested the radiation belts posed an insurmountable obstacle. But conspiracy theorists prefer their martyred version of his legacy to the actual man’s scientific conclusions.

The Van Allen paradox isn’t just a problem for Moon hoaxers—it’s a perfect case study in how conspiracy thinking systematically undermines its own foundations through logical incoherence.

Until next time, have a M.A.G.I.C. Week,

Brian

Appearance

Avi Loeb contines to get a lot of attention for his controversial but captivating opinion that the interstellar object 3I/ATLAS is possibly an alien techno signature.

Avi writes about our conversation on the INTO THE IMPOSSIBLE Podcast, where we discuss the arguments surrounding the nature of 3I/ATLAS in detail. Loeb refers to this discussion as a resource for understanding the scientific debate about whether the observed reddening in 3I/ATLAS’s spectrum is due to dust or a red surface, and more broadly, the question of its possible non-cometary or even technological origin.”.

Genius

Elon has liked or replied to several of my tweets. I’m not sure what really tickles his fancy. Sometimes it’s dad jokes, sometimes alien speculation, and sometimes replies to ridiculous ideas about why we don’t have any more geniuses like Einstein’s (allegedly).

As a person who was educated at public schools all my life, and who current teaches at a public university, I found that claim ridiculous. I guess Elon does too…

Image

I am getting back into astrophotography. I spent a week in Jackson Hole Wyoming and got some nice Timelapse pictures of the Perseus Meteor Shower and even made it up Snow King Mtn to see their amazing 1 meter telescope.

Conversation

I sit down with physicist and bestselling author Sabine Hossenfelder for a discussion on one of humanity’s most persistent philosophical puzzles: does free will really exist?

Sabine doesn’t shy away from controversial ideas—she argues that, according to our best understanding of physics, free will is an illusion. But if the universe is deterministic, how come we all act as if we have freedom of choice?

Click here to watch!

Advertisement

Don’t miss this incredible opportunity to elevate your knowledge and decision-making with Consensus Premium.

Consensus Premium harnesses cutting-edge AI to sift through thousands of research papers, delivering clear, evidence-backed answers to your toughest questions. Whether you’re a curious mind, a scientist, or a student of life, this is your chance to access the world’s best knowledge with zero strings attached.

Advertisement

By popular demand, and for my mental health 😲, I am starting a paid “Office Hours” where you all can connect with me for the low price of $19.99 per hour. I get a lot of requests for coffee, to meet with folks one on one, to read people’s Theories of Everything etc. Due to extreme work overload, I’m only able to engage directly with supporters who show an ongoing commitment to dialogue—which is why I host a monthly Zoom session exclusively for patrons in the $19.99/month tier.

It’s also available for paid Members of my Youtube channel at the Cosmic Office Hours level (also $19.99/month). Join here and see you in my office hours!We had our August Office Hour last week — it was great!

Catch the replay here.

Upcoming Episode

Ben Shapiro will be on The INTO THE IMPOSSIBLE Podcast soon. What’s fascinating is how this Harvard Law-trained debater applies rigorous logical frameworks to dissect both scientific methodology and political discourse—his rapid-fire analytical style could offer unique insights into how we construct and deconstruct arguments in physics education and public science communication. Ben’s perspective on institutional credibility (having built media empire outside traditional gatekeepers) might illuminate parallels between scientific establishment dynamics and information ecosystem evolution.

What questions do you have for Ben that explore the intersection of logical reasoning, institutional trust, and effective communication?

Submit your questions here.

This will close in 15 seconds