BRIANKEATING

Astrology Is Fraud (And Your Field Has the Same Problem)

Dear Magicians,

Students ask me about astrology more often than I let on.

Not because they believe it. They’re testing me — watching to see if the astrophysicist will perform skepticism. The eye roll. The Wikipedia citation. The condescending exit.

I don’t perform it.

Astrology is fraud. The mechanism doesn’t exist. The predictions are unfalsifiable. Saying Jupiter shapes your personality because it’s large is like claiming a photograph of your grandmother smells like her perfume.

But dismissal is the cheapest move available to a scientist.

The more interesting question — the one I’ve been asking for 25 years inside institutions — isn’t whether a framework is wrong. It’s what got quietly removed to make it tidy.

What the Babylonians Quietly Dropped

The sun doesn’t pass through 12 constellations each year.

It passes through 13.

Astronomers have known this since antiquity. The 13th is Ophiuchus — the Serpent Bearer — occupying roughly 19 days of solar transit between Scorpius and Sagittarius. If your birthday is between Nov 30 and Dec 17, you’re not a Sagittarius – you’re an Ophiuchus! Bet you never knew that. But even if you did, there’s absolutely zero reason to be upset. It’s there. It’s real. It shows up in any honest accounting of the sky.

The Babylonians dropped it around 700 BCE. Not because it conflicted with observations. Because it conflicted with their calendar. Twelve signs for twelve months. Symmetrical. Administratively elegant. Nobody pretended it was science. The editors just needed the numbers to work.

Ophiuchus has existed quietly ever since. Real. Ignored. Absent from every horoscope ever written.

Your Field Has One Too

The frameworks you inherited — in your discipline, your institution, your professional training — were built by editors who also had calendars to fill. Who also needed clean numbers. Who also chose symmetry over completeness.

What they dropped wasn’t wrong. It was inconvenient to count.

Physics did this with the aether: removed it elegantly, then quietly reinstated subtler versions — dark energy, inflation, quantum vacuum — because the equations still needed something there. Academia did it with replication: dropped as a norm for decades not because it didn’t work, but because it didn’t produce papers. Medicine did it with effect sizes that complicated the story.

The word isn’t fraud. The word is curation.

And curation, practiced over generations by people with institutional interests, produces consensus frameworks that are tidier than reality. Frameworks with an Ophiuchus somewhere. Frameworks where the count is quietly off by one.

The question isn’t whether your field dropped a 13th sign. It did.

The question is whether you’re allowed to count it.

The Action

This week: pick one framework you use automatically — a mental model, a professional heuristic, a piece of received wisdom from your training. Ask what the 13th sign would be.

Not what’s been debunked. What’s been quietly dropped for symmetry. What got edited out because it didn’t fit the calendar.

You don’t have to tear the whole thing apart. Just acknowledge the count is probably wrong.

The Cosmic

Ophiuchus won’t be added to the zodiac. The astrology industry runs on 12 signs, and administrative inertia defeats astronomical accuracy every single time.

But the ecliptic doesn’t care what the calendar says.

The sky has always had 13.

Until next time, have a M.A.G.I.C. Week,

Brian

PS. Reply to this email if you’re an Ophiuchus… I know for a fact 5% of you are!

Appearance

I sat down with Andrew Huberman to talk about the science of focus, the structure of discovery, and what cosmology teaches us about how to think. This was one of the most wide-ranging conversations I’ve had — from the cosmic microwave background to the daily habits that keep a research program alive.

Genius

The Sky’s Grandest Illusion

On Tuesday, March 3, 2026 (i.e., late TONIGHT!), the full Worm Moon will pass directly through Earth’s shadow, creating a total lunar eclipse. Visible across North America, this celestial alignment offers a rare chance to see our planet’s shadow cast upon the lunar surface. For those on the East Coast, the Moon will set during totality, a spectacle of celestial mechanics playing out in the dawn sky.

Read More at Sky & Telescope →

Image

JWST: Jets in the Carina Nebula

Previously hidden jets and outflows from young stars, revealed by the James Webb Space Telescope’s infrared instruments. The Carina Nebula sits roughly 7,600 light-years away — a stellar nursery where new suns are being born right now.

Credit: NASA, ESA, CSA, STScI / Image Processing: J. DePasquale, A. Koekemoer (STScI)

Watch: Brian on the James Webb Telescope →

Conversation

Latest on Into The Impossible

John C. Lennox: AI Wants to Become God!

Oxford mathematician and philosopher John Lennox joins me to discuss whether artificial intelligence is approaching a threshold that raises questions we’ve historically reserved for theology. A conversation about the boundaries of machine cognition, the nature of consciousness, and what happens when our tools start claiming territory we thought belonged to us.

Watch on YouTube →

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